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Having played out a thrilling 2-2 draw with Man City, Liverpool got back to winning ways with a 5-0 humiliation away at Watford, with Roberto Firmino netting a hat-trick and Mo Salah scoring yet another wonder goal.
That victory extends this goalscoring run on the road for the Reds, as they’ve now scored three or more goals in each of their last seven such outings, though it’s an extremely tall order to continue that run at the Wanda Metropolitano.
Due to the absence of certain South American players, Atletico had their game at the weekend postponed and have now had two and a half weeks of rest since their last outing, a 2-0 home win over Barcelona.
While having not been on electric form, we’d like to think they won’t concede three here considering they’ve not done so since a 3-1 defeat to city rivals Real Madrid in February 2019, and restricting their home games to just this competition, it’s been 12 years since they conceded more than two on home soil.
In fact, Los Rojiblancos are unbeaten at this ground going back their 1-0 defeat to Champions League winners Chelsea in February, conceding just six times in 12 games since.
The head to heads swing in the favour of the Spanish giants, with Liverpool winning just one of their six previous meetings, while that victory came at Anfield.
Under 3.5 Goals
The three meetings here have finished 1-1, 1-0 and 1-0, and while it’s unlikely that this visiting attack will be kept quiet for an entire 90 minutes, it would be no surprise to see a low scoring affair.
The outcome of this game is up in the air, though we’d give the visitors the edge in what is likely to be a game of fine margins.
It’s extremely difficult to look beyond the Reds’ front three, who are all in electric goalscoring form, each netting in both their last Premier League and Champions League game.
Diego Simeone’s side are now winless in their last four European home games, with three of those finishing level and seven of their last eight seeing under 2.5 goals land.
Marcos Llorente was the thorn in Liverpool’s ide the last time these two met, though it’s unlikely the Spaniard will be fit enough for a starting spot this time round as he continues his recovery from injury, while Stefan Savic is both banned and injured so there’s no chance of him lining up in the heart of the defence.
Brazilian Duo Allison and Fabinho are expected to be available to replace Caoimhin Kelleher and James Milner, and that will only make this side more solid without improving attacking potential, so unders still looks the right way to go.
PREDICTION:
UNDER 3.5 GOALS
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