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Everton are still fighting for a Europa League place and two wins from their past three outings, over Arsenal and Wet Ham, has left them just three points adrift of fifth-placed West Ham.
Their other result in this sequence may have been a defeat against Aston Villa themselves, but it’s noticeable that the Toffees haven’t been at their best at Goodison Park this term, whereas they’ve been highly efficient on their travels.
Only the Manchester duo hold a better record away from home and Carlo Ancelotti’s men have lost just once in 13 road trips since late November. Even that was inflicted by Thomas Tuchel’s highly impressive Chelsea, as they won nine of the 13 matches in total.
In fact, the Blues are the only side from Everton’s past six away games to breach the latter’s defence, as each of these encounters saw fewer than three goals.
Low-scoring affairs have been a consistent theme for Everton in recent months and home or away, nine of their last 12 fixtures in all competitions have also seen a maximum of two strikes.
Everton To Win 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Aston Villa’s recent showings haven’t gone the same way, with each of their past six containing at least three goals, but seven of their previous eight appearances saw under 2.5 goals come in.
Given five of their last six defeats have finished either 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1, with the exception when Edinson Cavani added a third late on from the bench in Man Utd’s 3-1 triumph here at Villa Park this weekend, the multibet angle appears profitable.
Indeed, all but one of Everton’s 13 away victories since June have finished either 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1.
Everton Draw No Bet
The continued absence of Jack Grealish encourages us to back the visitors in keeping up their laudable record on the road.
Villa’s talisman could potentially return to the matchday squad here, but after missing 12 games and with his team not in dire need of points with a mid-table finish guaranteed, it would be a major surprise if he made the starting line-up.
Villa have won just three of the 12 fixture’s he’s missed this term, so Everton draw no bet also looks a very steady way of getting the Toffees onside.
Ancelotti has his own returning players and had Abdoulaye Doucoure back on the bench as an unused substitute in the weekend’s win over West Ham.
Further, James Rodriguez could also be ready to play some part, but he shouldn’t make the starting line-up and of the 14 games that he hasn’t started this term, all but one of them ended 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 to one side or the other.
1-0, 2-0, 2-1 Everton Win At 11/4
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 11/05/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
