After beating Wolves 2-0 near the beginning of the month, Arsenal were again the better team when facing both Leicester and Spurs, but any immediate optimism has been squashed by taking just one point from those two outings.
The Gunners looked dangerous going forwards in the North London derby, but defensive frailties were still evident, with Jose Mourinho’s side able to suck up the pressure for long periods and particularly in the second half.
Mikel Arteta needs fresh faces at the back, but if his current options can’t get the basics right there’s no point entertaining hopes of a clean sheet when welcoming the new league champions.
Liverpool’s sharp shooters will prey upon any mistakes like Sead Kolasinac’s pass back to David Luiz, or the failure to pick up Toby Alderweireld from a set piece, so we’d expect Jurgen Klopp’s side to grab at least a couple of goals.
Both Teams To Score
Liverpool had their own disappointing result at the weekend as their 24-game winning streak at Anfield came to an end, though a stalemate with a solid, hard-working Burnley outfit having already lifted the title is a hardly a major concern.
It does however further hint that the new champions are taking their foot off the gas a little and the Reds now hold just three clean sheets from 12 appearances across all competitions.
In the league alone they’ve made concessions to the likes of weaker outfits West Ham, Watford, Bournemouth, Brighton and Burnley, as well as receiving a 4-0 hiding by Man City at the Etihad.
Arsenal have kept just one clean sheet in nine matches against the top five in the table this season. They’ve also found the net themselves in four of the five that have come under Arteta, as the exception came on the road at Man City.
Over 3.5 Goals
Given the Gunners have failed to score just once in 35 league games at the Emirates, both teams to score looks almost certain to land here
That’s certainly backed up by the head to heads and since Klopp pitched up on Merseyside, eight of nine have seen both teams find the net, as the exception saw Arsenal draw a blank at Anfield back in August 2017.
In fact, eight of these games also featured a minimum of four goals, as five saw a minimum of six, including a pulsating 5-5 draw between the two in the League Cup when they last met in October.
Although the visitors are clearly the better team, we’re reluctant to touch the match outcome with the hosts the ones with something to play for.
Liverpool have a poor record at this stadium with just the single victory in eight trips since 2012/13 (W1-D4-L3), and even under Klopp alone they’ve achieved an opening day 4-3 thriller in 2016/17 and a pair of stalemates.
One thing to keep an eye on however is that Arsenal have lost 15 points from winning positions since Arteta arrived, so should the Gunners score first, Liverpool may at that stage become a more attractive betting proposition salvage something from the game.