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A miraculous comeback from Brighton during the week saw them overcome Man City for the first time ever in the Premier League.
That was certainly helped by a 10th minute red card for Joao Cancelo, though they still had to come from two goals behind during the game and credit still has to go to them for that.
Arsenal have been going nicely in the league with four wins on the bounce now after their victory over Palace during the week, and they’ll want to put on a performance at the Emirates back in front of their fans.
That run included a 1-0 victory over Champions League finalists Chelsea and although their recent home record of W1-D3-L3 dating back to mid-March in all competitions is awful, as Everton proved when beating Wolves during the week the return of fans can easily turn that around.
Arsenal One Goal Winning Margin
The Seagulls may have undone the champions during the week but that came at the Amex and on the road their form has been questionable.
They’ve won just once from their last seven trips to opposition in all tournaments, as that sole victory came at a pretty poor Southampton outfit and considering each of those five defeats over that period came by single goal margins, that could be the way to go.
In fact, only one of their last 14 matches against middle third sides have been separated by more than a single strike, as all five of their defeats against those teams came by a single goal.
To further that narrative, all the last six head-to-heads between the two sides since the start of 2018 have been separated by one goal or fewer, with the reverse fixture this season ending 1-0 to the Gunners back in December.
Nicolas Pepe has been hitting the headlines for Mikel Arteta’s side for all the right reasons in recent times with three goals from his last two outings, taking his tally to 19 goal contributions for the season and no doubt he’ll be looking to get amongst it yet again.
However, from a betting perspective we’d be hesitant to get behind a goalscorer considering the low scoring nature of this fixture over the last three years.
Arsenal 1 Goal Winning Margin At 13/5
ARSENAL V BRIGHTON ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 21/05/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
