Glen Durrant v Michael Smith
Number 13 in the order of merit rankings Glen Durrant has been excelling since mid-July, with a semi-final appearance at World Matchplay and a W4-D2 record in his last six nights in the Premier League. Indeed, that includes victories over the likes of Michael van Gerwen, Peter Wright, Gerwyn Price and Daryl Gurney and so it’s no surprise to see him as favourite.
His opponent Bully Boy also reached the last four in Milton Keynes back in July’s World Matchplay, but he’s since lost four of his six matches. Those victories came against the now relegated Rob Cross while the other was SuperChin who now props up the table in phase two of this tournament. In fact, Smith isn’t all that far off Gurney with just three points and one place separating them in the table at the minute, while he’s lost both his last two meetings against Duzza dating back to mid-November and we’ll have to side with the current Premier League leader to maintain the gap to at least four points at the head of the table.
Daryl Gurney v Gary Anderson
Form is certainly on Gary Anderson’s side for this one as his last four matches have yielded victories over all of Mighty Mike, Snakebite and The Asp, while he salvaged a draw with the current runaway leader Glen Durrant. That has seen him jump up the table to second place now, though it should be noted that none of those games were separated by more than three legs, with three seeing a maximum of two.
SuperChin has split his last six matches back in the Premier League and although none of them finished in a draw, two of his three wins saw him win by just two legs 7-5 v Aspinall and 8-6 v Wright. In fact, five of his last seven leg format meetings with the Flying Scotsman have seen fewer than two legs separate them, including their recent clash back in February which Anderson won 7-5. It is currently very short in the market for this game to go ‘Over 12.5 Legs’, but considering their previous history and respective forms, this looks like it could go the length.
Peter Wright v Michael van Gerwen
This blockbuster encounter has now become a very important fixture for both men given they’ve each had a few slip ups recently. Indeed, Peter Wright has now lost three games on the bounce to Anderson, Gurney and Price, but considering he tonned up in each of them and lost the last two by just two legs you’d imagine his fortunes will take a turn for the better anytime soon. However, he may have to wait with him facing Mighty Mike in this night 13 clash.
Of everyone Snakebite has played more than once in his career, van Gerwen has been his least successful opponent to play against, with just a 22.5% win rate from their 82 meetings. That includes just three victories from their last 13 as well as all three Premier League meetings in that time, and so we’re a little surprised to see Wright at as shorter price as he currently is. Of course, those recent averages will put him in good stead and the fact that van Gerwen’s form has been a little ropey, but we’re still confident in the world number one maintain his dominant record over the Scot.
Gerwyn Price v Nathan Aspinall
The Asp has struggled to get any consistency going on the return of the Premier League as he’s yet to get back-to-back victories since night seven, but he’s still beaten both Michael Smith (twice) and his opponent for this one Price. However, the Welshmen has now won back-to-back matches over the two best players in the world, averaging 106.83 in the most recent against Snakebite and he’ll certainly want to win this crucial four pointer against his English rival.
The Asp currently sits on 13 points too but is just outside the last qualification spot due to his points difference, and so he’ll be gunning for more than just a draw in this one. However, The Iceman holds a favourable W5-L4 record since the start of 2019 and given he’s also won four of his last five matches, you get the feeling he’s building some serious momentum heading into this fixture and so we have to be on his side at the prices.