ALL BELOW PRICES ARE CORRECT AS OF 09:30 04/03/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
Rob Cross v Daryl Gurney
Rob Cross really isn’t playing anywhere near his best darts of late, losing his last two Premier League matches by 7-5 score lines to Peter Wright and Gary Anderson, meaning he now sits as low as 7th in the table. His averages really are taking a hit of late too, tonning up in just five of his last 40 matches when excluding the Grand Prix. Luckily for Voltage, he’s up against the only man yet to win a Premier League match this year in Daryl Gurney.
SuperChin is just D1-L3 in this year’s Premier League, while he’s also won just one of his last 48 tournaments as he really struggles for form at the minute. What’s more, the Northern Irishman has lost six of the last eight head-to-heads with Cross since April last year, as well as each of their last three meetings in this tournament and we’re happy to get behind Voltage for this one. However, with both players looking out of sorts, we don’t expect the quality to be of the highest order and few 180s are expected, though at a very short price for their to be fewer than seven 180s and with SuperChin hitting four against Smith in his last matchup, we’ll avoid getting behind it.
Gerwyn Price v Glen Durrant
Ironically, the Iceman is on fire at the moment. Since his third draw with Daryl Gurney in the Premier League, he’s gone on to reach the final of the fifth Players Championship in Wigan, only to lose out narrowly to Peter Wright, before winning the sixth having beaten Michael van Gerwen in the final. He followed this up with revenge on Wright in a 7-1 demolition in round four of this competition last week, before going on the win the Belgian Darts Championship on Sunday. This run has now seen the Welshman win 19 of his last 20 matches, so it’s very difficult to look past him.
Duzza currently sits just behind Price in fourth having been knocked off top spot last week by the Asp, though he’s still yet to play any of the top four in the World rankings and so we’d expect him to fall further down the table. Price has also won five of the last seven matchups between the two, with each of his last three victories coming by a clear four leg margin (5-1, 7-3, 6-2), and he looks a fair price in the outright.
Nathan Aspinall v Peter Wright
This is undoubtedly the highlight of Week 5 of the Premier League between two of the most in form players on the circuit at the moment. Nathan Aspinall is tied on points at the top of the leaderboard with Michael Van Gerwen having beaten the Dutchman in round three and following that up with victory over previous leader Glen Durrant in Dublin last week. He’s hit 100+ averages in half of his last 12 matches dating back to that victory over Magic Mike, though he’ll be somewhat disappointed by his quarter final exit in Belgium at the weekend, even if it has little to no effect on his chances here.
Snake Bite Wright is the challenger for the Asp, and having beaten Gerwyn Price to the fifth Players Championship in Wigan the week before last looks in good stead. However, his form at the Premier League has left some scratching their heads, as he was pummelled 7-1 by the Iceman last week, leaving him second from bottom in the table, though having played each of the other top four in the world, as well as fellow scot Gary Anderson, he seems to have the nicest run in after this. The Asp’s recent victories mean he’ll be the player with more confidence heading into this, and the price around him is enough for us to get behind, especially considering he’s won each of their three meetings since June.
Gary Anderson v Luke Humphries
Having reached the quarters at the World Championships back in December, one would have hoped that Luke Humphries would have pushed on, though having not made it past the Last 32 in any of his nine tournaments since, it’s hard to make a case for him as the challenger.
Gary Anderson sits down in sixth in the league table, though with it being so cramped up the top he’s only one point off van Gerwen in first and he’ll be relishing the chance to climb up into the playoff places. However, since winning the first Players Championships in Barnsley this year the Flying Scotsman has gone just W9-D1-L5. It should be noted though, that two of those defeats came against Mighty Mike, while his lowest average in that run was 92.45, as he’s thrown over 100 in five of his last 11 matches.
While Cool Hand Humphries has also been throwing some good numbers, his 82.91 average in an opening round 6-1 defeat to Ronny Huybrechts at the weekend has us worried, and we feel this should be pretty straightforward for the Scot. What’s more, no player has thrown more 180s than Anderson’s 13 in the Premier League so far, and he looks well priced to out throw Challenger Humphries in that department too.
Michael Smith v Michael van Gerwen
Michael Smith set the Dublin crowd alight by throwing the first nine-dart finish in the Premier League for three years. The Englishman followed up that victory with a final appearance in Belgium, en route to which he defeated his next opponent van Gerwen 6-5 in the Last 16, so this is by no means a foregone conclusion.
Magic Mike is not in the form of his life at the moment, despite leading the Premier League table, he’s still looking for his first title of 2020, having lost three finals this already. The fact he’s reached three finals alone shows he’s by no means done, though Smith will be full of confidence from his recent performances and will no doubt prove a tricky customer.
The World Number One is the shortest price of anyone on Thursday night, and with Smith in the current form he’s in we’re certainly not comfortable getting behind the defending champ valued as short as he is. What we are expecting is a high quality matchup that will hopefully go the distance, so the over 6.5 match 180s appeals at just shy of evens appeals.
ALL ABOVE PRICES ARE CORRECT AS OF 09:30 04/03/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
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