The downfall for the Capitals in the previous meeting between the two was their lack of depth in batting, among other things. The obvious move would be to drop a bowler, move Shimron Hetmyer into the side and double up Marcus Stoinis’ responsibilities by using him as an extra bowler.
That’s exactly what Ricky Ponting did by moving Daniel Sams out of the side, and Stoinis earned himself man of the match with a 38 from 27 deliveries at the top of the order, as well as pitching in with figures of 3/26.
Hetmyer contributed with a quick 42 not out from just 22 deliveries and we’d expect to see a very similar line up this time round, though it won’t be easy to overturn a side that have won four of the last seven IPL titles and have won all three head to heads this season.
It’s little wonder that the Indians come into this as favourites, especially with a 4-1 record in IPL finals, winning each of their last four.
What plays into the Capitals’ hands somewhat is the fact that only two of the nine 1st placed finishers in the regular season have gone on to lift the trophy since the introduction of this playoff format, though the fact that both have come in the last three seasons and both have been the Mumbai Indians gives us a reason to ignore that stat this time round.
Delhi Capitals To Beat The Mumbai Indians
Rohit Sharma hasn’t been as electric of late as he nurses a minor injury, though the rest of their batting line up has been formidable this season and that shouldn’t really be an issue.
The Capitals certainly have the resources to cause some damage here, though in the previous three meetings they’ve really struggled to contend with Jasprit Bumrah and Trent Boult.
Moving Marcus Stoinis to the top of the order seemed to reap dividends for Ricky Ponting’s side, and we’d assume that he’d open the batting again here considering their previous first wicket attempts yielded partnerships of one or fewer in six of their eight previous matches.
Although it’s too early to suggest that’s been solved, 86 between Stoinis and Shikhar Dhawan is just the kind of score they want to be heading into the final with, and they’ll certainly have far more confidence than their previous meetings with the Indians.
The Indians appear to be worth taking on at the prices. Although they have far more experience in finals, Kagiso Rabada has been arguably the best bowler this entire IPL season, and Anrich Nortje hasn’t been far behind.
This should be a closer contest than we’ve seen between the two before, so we’re happy to get behind the Capitals at an odds against price to cause a bit of an upset, providing they stick to the same team and order that they beat the Sunrisers with at the weekend.