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A rollercoaster T20 series ended with India snatching it 3-2 on Saturday, so England will be desperate to avoid them making it a hat-trick in this ODI series now.
The biggest loss for England will be that of Jofra Archer, who is set to miss all three matches and the start of the IPL season, while other notable absentees are Chris Woakes, who is the only bowlers to have taken more ODI wickets for England than Archer since the latter made his debut in 2019, and Joe Root, which certainly plays into the hands of the hosts.
On ODI form alone, England certainly have the edge, winning four of the last five head to heads while India have now lost five of their last six ODIs in total.
It should be noted though that all six of those matches were played away from home, and they’ve won four of their last five on home soil so they’re still in good stead coming into this.
India To Beat England
This is only the fourth ODI to be held at this ground in Pune, with India batting second on all four previous occasions and wining half, with one of those victories coming against England themselves back in 2017, and with the difference in quality between these squads, we’d expect the hosts to do what they couldn’t manage in either the Test or T20 series and that’s win the opening match.
One of the core reasons for that is the form of Virat Kohli, who remains the best batsman in the world in this format, just clear of teammate Rohit Sharma. Three scores of 70+ not out in the T20 series shows he’s back to his very best, and unless England can take some early wickets against this India side, it’s difficult to see how they’re going to muster up a win.